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Recent Forex News
Technical Analysis January Month-End Rebalancing Often you may hear about 'month end' flows having a positive or negative effect on a currency during the last few days of the month. Thus, I've decided to take a look at asset market capitalizations in the major market economies to help us try to determine which direction these GBP/USD Forms Double Top as Market Breaks 1.5660 The GBP/USD has been resilient, but the bull run since 1/27 Asian-European session could not clear the 1/26 high at 1.5733. After the US stock market opened at 9:30 AM EST, the GBP/USD started to turn around, and in the following hour candle is falling back toward the previous session’s USDJPY: Bears Take Control, Risk Seen Towards The 76.54 Level USDJPY: The pair is now on a second day of sell off following its failure to continue its recovery strength started from the 76.54 level. It looks like USDJPY could be building up downside momentum with the possibility of returning to the mentioned support at 76.54 level, its Jan 17'2012 USD/CAD Falls Below Parity with First Support Pivot at 0.9883 The 4H USD/CAD continues it's decline below triangle support and below a support area around 1.0070. In the 1/27 Asian-European session, it is confirming the bearish outlook after a brief pullback in the previous US Session. The RSI shows persistent bearish momentum since breaking below the triangle, as the reading EUR/USD Bounces off 1.3077 Pivot; Bullish Momentum Intact with Room to 1.32 The corrective decline yesterday did not last long as the market found support in the 1/27 Asian session at the 1.3075-1.3080 pivot area seen more clearly in the 4H chart. The 1H chart shows that this was between 38.2% and 50% retracement of the latest upswing from 1.2930 to 1.3183. Newsfeed display by CaRP Fundamental Analysis It's all Greek to me Eurozone debt markets continued to show signs of further stabilization as Greek/private sector bondholder (private sector investors or PSI) negotiations continued to stumble along with repeated promises that a deal was soon to be reached, possibly over this weekend. The debt swap deal is a prerequisite to Greece receiving the Signs of Cyclical Turn? Equities followed the now familiar pattern of 2012: a more cautious close following earlier gains. Nevertheless US, Euro area and UK bourses looked like closing another week in positive territory, a further testimony to the wider improvement in risk sentiment this year. Unless the last days of the month see Weekly Focus: Dovish Fed Keeps All Options Open The Fed statement was surprisingly dovish in light of recent encouraging US data. We now do not expect Fed to hike the fed funds rate until mid-2014. In the euro area better-than-expected PMIs suggest that the recession will be relatively mild. Japan?s trade balance showed a deficit for 2011 as a whole US: A Soft GDP Report, QE3 More Likely While growth disappointed in Q4 we still see scope for growth in the area of 2.5% in 2012. Consumption growth is underpinned by decent income growth as employment is picking up and inflation has come down. And exports are likely to recover as export markets are recovering slowly. Corporate investment Does Weaker GDP Mean Pricing in QE3 and A Weaker USD Today's US GDP data was interesting in that it came in weaker than expected and breaking down the report we see that personal consumption was pretty soft and much of the gain in the fourth quarter came from the restocking of inventories. Therefore with a soft GDP report the usual response Newsfeed display by CaRP |